2026-09-13 Situational Awareness paper (Paul Christiano et al., 2024) — PDF cached + ref entry

Situational Awareness — AI Progress and the Possibility of a Slow Takeoff — June 2024

Paul Christiano et al. forecasting paper arguing for taking "slow takeoff" seriously: AI systems improve gradually and at some point become capable enough to pose serious risk, but the transition from "deployable" to "dangerous" is gradual. Key themes: situational awareness (AI understanding its own position and acting strategically), post-training improvements (RLHF, scaling, chain-of-thought) as the main driver, autonomous replication as a warning sign. Website screenshotit embed + PDF (21 MB) cached locally in assets. Links to pacing-the-frontier, an-alien-mind-pachocki, openai-research-acceleration-view-inside.